So it's definitely not worth it to try to cheap out, just always go for 71! Side note: the GFEM applies to both lvl 70 and lvl71 items, but if you select 70 you would be getting a lvl76 at most, not a 77. If you do a normal legendary, a lower lvl or an uncommon/rare/epic item, it's still 1/64 chance but with fair random dice rolls, you could have 5 in a row or you could have none for 300 crafts. However, after just having crafted a 77, the chance of a second one drops to almost zero and starts to slowly rise again the more crafts you do.Īll of this post only applies to crafting of lvl70 and lvl71 legendary set or unique items, as well as Mastery Level 50.

Due to this mechanism, if you have not crafted a 77 for a long time, the odds that your next one is one rise exponentially. The game also uses a mechanism to ensure you never get too unlucky (or lucky!), known among veterans as the 'Gambler's Fallacy Enforcement Mechanism' (GFEM), the 'Bag' and the 'There is no Bag™'. Therefore, you have 1/64 chance of getting a lvl77 item when clicking the button on a lvl71 craft. This post is mainly based on research done by LodWig, Icedin and myself.Ĭrafting with Mastery Level 50 has a 50% chance per item to get an extra item level, up to 6 times.

Due to very popular demand, I'll try to compile an overview of everything we know about crafting high-level items and trying to get those elusive lvl77's.

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